Monday, 12 May 2008

Defeat - snatched from the jaws of victory !

If ever there was a time when a change of political party supremacy was likely in the United States - it is now !

George W Bush is possibly the most unpopular president in US history with an approval rating that continues to fall. He is beset by a disastrous war and now the US economy is in free fall due to the sub-prime mortgage debacle.

Only one thing is working against a Democrat victory sweeping both houses - and installing a Democrat in the oval office - and that is the combative ego's of the two contenders for that position.

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obana both have the brains and style to be successful presidents. Unfortunately they also represent trail blazing front runners of change - she to be the possible first woman president - and he to be the possible first black president.

They also both have colossal egos !

The race for the nomination has now descended into farce. The main issues have been debated and the voters have had the chance to make up their own minds. The contest has now degenerated into a slanging match of a personal level - and that is turning off voters in droves.

The time has long past for the loser to be gracious and depart the contest - and without doubt that loser is Hillary Clinton. Instead, it seems likely that she will persevere right up until the convention - and that may well doom the Democrats to another four years in the wilderness.

At best the Democrats are a fragmented party comprising many factions. To achieve victory it is necessary for a common thread to emerge to unite those factions - and the best common thread would be a clearly triumphant contender to be in the leadership role prior to the convention.

It may yet happen - but if it doesn't the Democrats look like entering the fray with an element of disunity in their ranks - and that could be fatal. How often in politics have we seen defeat - snatched from the jaws of victory ?

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